“Ryu Hyun-jin issued a 7th-line TOR issuance,” and FanGraph’s predictive results of “6 wins, 5 losses, ERA 4.38,” the remaining weather is also “disturbing.”

After a highly anticipated stint in a Toronto Blue Jays uniform, Hyun-jin Ryu, 36, has been a disappointment. He’s eligible for free agency again, but it won’t be easy for him to stay.

On March 23 (KST), FanGraphs.com, an American baseball statistics site, released its projections for Toronto in 2024.

Included is free agent Ryu Hyun-jin. The projections are based on the SZymborski Projection System (ZiPS), which was created by Dan Zymborski. It is a statistic that derives data based on a large amount of data from the past, taking into account trends such as growth and decline, and is used as a reference data to predict future performance.

Ryu, who signed a four-year, $80 million (KRW104.2 billion) contract with Toronto, is 24-15 with a 3.97 ERA in 60 games and 315 innings over the past four years. Considering his first season was a shortened one due to the coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak, averaging just six wins per year is a bit of a disappointment.굿모닝토토 주소

After rehabbing from elbow ligament reconstruction surgery (Tommy John surgery) in June of last year, Ryu made a late-season comeback and went 3-3 with a 3.46 ERA in 11 games and 52 innings pitched.

He was solid in his return, but struggled in his final two games and was left off the roster for the wild-card game.

Ryu Hyun-jin. /Photo via Toronto Blue Jays Official Social Media
The assessment was sobering. “Ryu is a free agent, but he’s only played part of the season and they have four healthy starters,” the outlet said.

This season, the Blue Jays were able to survive the extreme struggles of Hyun-jin Ryu and Alec Manoah, who missed most of the season with injuries, with their starting four collecting 50 wins. Chris Bassitt (16 wins), Kevin Gausman (12 wins), and Jose Berrios and Yusei Kikuchi (over 11 wins) rounded out a solid starting rotation. Their ERAs were all in the triple digits.

There are still expectations for Manoa, who had a breakout year in 2020 with 16 wins and a 2.24 ERA. The media is excited about the possibility of a rebound, saying, “Manoa could be traded, but it’s too early to let him go,” and “The fact remains that he was really good in 2022.”

Manoa isn’t the only problem. There’s also the threat of Triple-A prospect Ricky Tidman.

According to ZiPS data, the right-hander was projected to go 6-5 with a 4.38 ERA in 17 games next season. While the results were disappointing, he didn’t have a clear advantage over Kikuchi (7-7, 4.38 ERA), Manoa (8-7, 4.48 ERA), or Tedman (5-5, 4.08 ERA).

It’s just a prediction, but it’s also in line with local opinion. He’s already approaching his late 30s and has had two surgeries since reaching MLB. ESPN previously graded the free agents, placing Ryu in the lowest tier of six.

While it’s possible that he could compete with Kikuchi, Manoa, and Tidman, it’s highly unlikely that a team would sign a pitcher in free agency who they weren’t confident could secure a spot in the starting rotation.

The possibility of a return to his hometown team, the Hanwha Eagles, is open, but for now, staying in the big leagues is his priority. His agent, Scott Boras, nailed it when he said, “Hyun-jin Ryu will pitch in MLB next year, not in Korea.”

Despite the media’s negative outlook, there are still plenty of teams looking for him. Even if he can’t be expected to be a No. 1 or No. 2 starter, he’s still good enough to fill out the rotation as a No. 3 or No. 4 starter.

Jim Borden, a columnist for The Athletic and a former Major League Baseball general manager, previously ranked Ryu as the 35th best free agent pitcher in the game and said he could sign a one-year, $8 million (10.4 billion won) contract. MLB.com estimated that the Atlanta Braves, Houston Astros, Arizona Diamondbacks, Tampa Bay Rays, and Minnesota Twins could be in the running for Ryu.

In free agency, it’s common for the big names at a position to find a team, followed by a chain reaction of lower-rated players. Ryu’s second stint in free agency will likely require more patience than his first.

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